
4幎ã§100äžæº¶ãããåãã1æãã3äžåã§åèµ·ã§ããçç±ãšææ³ã®æŠèŠã
ããã¿ãã§ãã
å€ãã®äººãããããã®æªããæ å ±ãä»äººã®èšèãä¿¡ããŠãæ¯æ¥ã®ããã«å€§äºãªè³éãæº¶ãããŠããŸãã
ãæ¬¡ããã¯åãŠãã¯ãããèª°ãæ¬ç©ã®æ å ±ãæããŠããããšãçŠã£ãŠäœãã«ããããããªãæ°æã¡ã¯ãåã4幎éã§100äžå以äžã倱ã£ãŠããã®ã§çãã»ã©ããåãããŸãã
ã§ãããã€ãŠã®åãããã ã£ãããã«ã誰ãã®èšèã«çããæ±ããŠãããã¡ã¯ããã€ãŸã§çµã£ãŠãè² ãã®é£éããæãåºããŸãããçžå Žã倧ããåãããšãã®ä»çµã¿ããèªåã®ç®ã§ç¢ºãããŠããªãããã§ãã
åãããªããšãèšã£ãŠããŸãããåèªèº«ãä»äººã®èšèãéµåã¿ã«ããåãŠãæ¹æ³ãæ¢ãåã£ãŠã¯è³éããªããå°çã人äžåå³ãã£ãŠããŸããã
ãã®å€§å€±æã®æ«ã«ãä»äººã®èšèã1ããªãä¿¡ããã®ããããèªåã®æã§æ³¥èãããŒã¿ãéãããããªããšæ°ã¥ããä»å¹Žã®1æã«ããããä»ã®ææ³ã確ç«ããŸããã
ãããŠä»å¹Žã®1æãåŽã£ã·ã¡ã®ç¶æ ã§ãããã3äžåãšããæ¥µå°ã®è³éããåã¹ã¿ãŒããåããŸããã
以åå ¬éãããåã®èªäœExcelã·ãŒãã®äžéšã

ãã®æåããŒã¿ããäœã£ãåã®ã«ãŒã«ã§ãããå®ã¯ãç¹å®ã®å£åº§ã®ä»çµã¿ãã䜿ããªããšã絶察ã«éäžã§ç Žç¶»ããŸããæ®éã®å£åº§ã§ãã®ããæ¹ãç䌌ããŠãããŸãçãæ®ããŸããã
ð åããã£ãŠãããææ³ã®æŠèŠããšäœ¿ã£ãŠããã€ã³ãž
åã®ææ³ã¯ãäžèšã§ãããšãä»ããå²ãããïŒããšã¿ããªã欲匵ã£ãŠäžæã«åãæ¹åãžé£ã³ã€ããšãã«ã°ãŒã³ãšå€§ããåãã倧è¡å¿çã®æ§è³ªã ããçãæã¡ããã·ã³ãã«ãªã«ãŒã«ã§ãã
ã§ãããããªç¡çãªåŒã匵ãã¯é·ãã¯ç¶ããŸãããã¿ããªã®ææ ¢ãéçãè¿ããç¬éã«ãçžå Žã¯ãµã£ãšèœã¡çããåãæ»ããå ã®ãŸã£ãšããªäŸ¡æ Œãžãšæ»ãå§ããŸãã
鱿«ã«1åãéå»ã®å€§ããªæ³¢ãExcelã«ã³ãã³ããšæåã§èšé²ããŠããããšã§ããã®ãã¿ããªã®ææ ¢ãéçãè¿ããã¿ã€ãã³ã°ããæ°åã®ç©å·®ããšããŠèŠããããã«ããŠããŸãã
ãã£ãŒãã«å ¥ããŠããã®ã¯ã誰ããç¥ã£ãŠããåºæ¬ã®éå ·ã ãã§ããç¹å¥ãªéæ³ã®ã€ã³ãžã±ãŒã¿ãŒãªããŠäœ¿ã£ãŠããŸããã
Moving AverageïŒç§»åå¹³åç·ïŒïŒå€§è¡å¿çã®åºæºç·ãšããŠäœ¿çš
ZigZagïŒãžã°ã¶ã°ïŒïŒæ³¢ã®å±±ãšè°·ã綺éºã«èŠèŠåãããã
RSIïŒå€§è¡ã®å£²ããããã»è²·ããããã®éçãèŠããã
â ïž éå»ã®ããŒã¿ã¯ãçãã®ããåžžã«æŽæ°ãç¶ããçç±
æè³ã®äžçã«ãããããè²·ãã°äžçå®å¿ããšããæ°žä¹ äžæ» ã®æ¹æ³ã¯ååšããŸãããçžå Žã¯åžžã«çãç©ã®ããã«å€åããŠããããã§ãã
å»å¹Žã®ããŒã¿ããæ°ã¶æåã®å€ãæ°åã ãã«é Œã£ãŠæŠã£ãŠãããšãçžå Žã®å°ããªå€åã«æ°ã¥ããããã€ã®éã«ãç©å·®ãããºã¬ãŠèªæ» ããŠããŸããŸãã
ããŒã¿ã¯åžžã«ãçãã®ãã§ããã ãããããåã¯é±æ«ã«1åãå¿ ãææ°ã®ãã£ãŒãããæ³¥èãæåã§æ°åããµã³ããªã³ã°ããèªåã®ç©å·®ããåžžã«ææ°ã®ç¶æ ã«ã¢ããããŒãïŒäžæžãïŒãç¶ããŠããŸãã
ðš æ£çŽã«èšããŸãããã®ææ³ã§ããæº¶ããå¯èœæ§ãã¯ãããŸã
åã¯åãã€ããããªãã®ã§ããããªèšããŸããããã®ããæ¹ã§ãå£åº§ã溶ããŠç Žç¶»ããå¯èœæ§ã¯ãŒãã§ã¯ãããŸããã
éå»ã®çµ±èšïŒç©å·®ãïŒãã©ãã ãææ°ã«ã¢ããããŒãããŠããŠãããããé¥ãã«è¶ ãããããªãæŽå²äžèŠãããšããªããããªç°åžžãªå€§æŽèµ°ãæ¥ãããã©ããªææ³ã ãããšè² ãããšãã¯è² ããŸãã
ã ãããããæ¯æ¥äœèšãªææ°æãåŒãããªããå®ãã®ç°å¢ãã絶察ã«å¿ èŠã«ãªãã®ã§ãã
ã§ã¯ããªããã®ããæ¹ã«ãã¹ã¯ããããªãŒïŒéå©ææ°æãŒãïŒãã®å£åº§ãçµ¶å¯Ÿã«æ¬ ãããªãã®ãã
ãã®çµ¶å¯Ÿçãªç§å¯ããè²·ãã売ããæ¯æ¥ãããææ°æããŒãã«ãªãä»çµã¿ã§ãã
åã¯XMã®ãKIWAMI極å£åº§ããšãããææ°æãäžååŒãããªãç¹æ®ãªå£åº§ã䜿ã£ãŠæŠã£ãŠããŸãã
4æ30æ¥ã®ãã®å€§æŽèœã®ãšããåã®å£åº§ã¯äžæãæ®ã9,000åããšããå°çã®åºãŸã§è¿œã蟌ãŸããŸããã
æ®éã®å£åº§ãªããçžå Žãæ»ããã«äœæ¥ã匵ãä»ããŠããéã«ãæ¯æ¥éãææ°æããŽãªãŽãªãšåãåãããçžå Žãæ»ã£ãŠããåã«å£åº§ãåå°œããŠæº¶ããŠããã¯ãã§ãã
ã§ããåã®å£åº§ã¯ææ°æããŒãã
ãäœæ¥éæãŸããããã³ã¹ã0åã§æ°žé ã«ã¿ããªãèœã¡çããŠæ»ã£ãŠããã®ãåŸ
ãŠãããšããçŸãæã£ãŠãããããããå°çãçãæ®ããå
æã3äžåããçŸåšã®11äžåè¶
ïŒçŽ4åïŒã«å¢ããããšãã§ããŸããã
èªåã§æ±ºããã«ãŒã«ãšããã®å£åº§ã®ä»çµã¿ã
ãã®2ã€ãæã£ãŠåããŠãåã¯äŒç€Ÿå¡ããããªããã§ããçŠããã©ã£ããæ§ããŠå©çãåŸ
ãŠãããã«ãªããŸããã
ãããŸã§èªãã§ããFXã§çšŒããŠãããªããããããnoteã§èšäºãæžãå¿ èŠãªããŠãªãã®ã§ã¯ïŒããšæã£ãæ¹ããããããããŸããã
æ£çŽã«ãäŒããããšã
åã®éçšè³éã¯3äžåããå§ããŠããŸã 11äžåè¶
ã®æ®µéã§ããããããæåã®å€§ããªç®æšã§ããã30äžåãããããŠãŽãŒã«ã®ã1,000äžåããžåããã«ã¯ãå°ãã§ãå£åº§ã®èšŒæ éïŒçŸã®åã¿ïŒãæ©ãå¢ãããŠå®å
šæ§ãé«ãããããšããã®ãæ¬é³ã§ãã
äŒç€Ÿå¡ãšããŠã絊æããæè³ãžåããéé¡ã«ã¯ãã©ãããŠãéçããããŸããã ãããããèªåã®æ€èšŒã®ããã«æ¯é±ã€ããŠãããã®Excelã®ããŒã¿ãããããåãããã«çé¢ç®ã«åŠã³ããããšããæ¹ã®åœ¹ã«ç«ã€ã®ã§ããã°ããã®å£²äžããã¹ãŠèªåã®FXå£åº§ã«çŽæ¥å ¥ããŠã蚌æ éãå¢ããåã«ããããããããåãnoteãéèšãããªã¢ã«ãªçç±ã§ãã
ã§ãã®ã§ããã æ¥œãããŠç°¡åã«çšŒããéæ³ã®ãããªãçãããæ±ããŠããæ¹ã«ã¯ãåã®ãã¬ãžã³ã¯åããªããããããŸãããåã¯ã¿ãªããã«çããé ãããããã§ã¯ãªãããã§ãã
åã®çºä¿¡ããã®ãŸãŸéµåã¿ã«ããã®ã§ã¯ãªããããªãã»ã©ãèªåã§æ³¥èãããŒã¿ã調ã¹ãŠãããšããããªã«èŠçãéãããã ããšãããã³ãïŒç©å·®ãïŒãšããŠããã®Excelã®æ çµã¿ãåèã«ããŠãããããšå¬ããã§ãã
ä»äººã®èšèã«æ¯ãåããããèªåã®ããŒã¿ã ããä¿¡ããŠçŠããã©ã£ããæ§ããŠãäžç·ã«çžå Žãä¹ãè¶ããŠãããŸãããã