
èš³è ããšããããèãªãçµæžåŠã
ãã£ãŒã«ãºã»ã¢ã€ãŒã³ã¹ã¿ã€ã³ã2007幎ã®ã人é¡ã®äžæãã«ç¶ããŠ2011幎ã«çºè¡šããã®ããèãªãçµæžåŠãã§ããèè ãæ¬æžã®åçãå·çããŠããåœæã«èµ·ããŠããã®ã2008幎ã®ãªãŒãã³ã»ã·ã§ãã¯ã§ãäžçäžã®çµæžã倧混乱ã«é¥ããŸããããã以åã®ã¢ã¡ãªã«ã¯ãè¥è ãããŒã³ã§æ°è»œã«å®¶ãè²·ããããªæä»£ã§ããããç¡çãªè²žä»ã幟éã«ãåµåžåããéèæŽŸçååã®äŸ¡å€ã¯ãä¿¡ããããšã ãã«æ¯ããããŠããã®ã§ã人ã ãä¿¡é Œã倱ã£ããšããã«åŽ©å£ããã®ã§ãããããŠéèæ©é¢ã¯ææžãããéå©ã«åºã¥ãçµæžæé·ãšããæ ¹æ¬æ¬ é¥ãèŠãé ãããŸãŸãåé¡ãå éãã«ããŸãããçµæžããæé·ããéèãèšåŒµãç¶ããéãã«ãããŠç€ŸäŒã¯è¡šé¢çã«å¹³éãä¿ã€ããšãã§ããŸãããå¿ ãéçãè¿ããŠã¯ã©ãã·ã¥ããã®ã§ãã
æ¬æžã§ã¯ã瀟äŒã«èª²ããããã®ãæé·ã®åœä»€ãããå®ã¯ç§ãã¡ã®äººçãè²§ããããŠãããã®ã®æ£äœã§ãã£ãŠããã®æ ¹æºã«ã¯å©åãããããšããããå¯äžå¯èœãªçµæžã®ããæ¹ã§ã¯ãªãããšããããŠããã®ä»£æ¿çã§ãããã€ãã¹éå©è²šå¹£ãžã®ç§»è¡ã«ã€ããŠæãäžããŠãããŸãã
ããã«åŽ©å£ãçµã1990幎代以éãæ¥æ¬ã®çµæžã¯è¡°éãå§ããçµæžåºæ¿çã¯æ©èœãããããããã倱ããã30幎ãã«ãªã£ãŠããã®ã¯ããã¯ãæ¥æ¬ã«çµæžæé·ã§ããé åããªããªã£ãŠããŸã£ãããã§ããæéã§ããèªç¶ã»ç€ŸäŒè³æ¬ãæ¯æžããããŸãå²ã話ãç¡ããªã£ãŠããŸãã®ãäœæé·ã»ãŒãæé·ã®ç€ŸäŒã§ããæé·ã§ããªããæé·ããªãã®ãæ®éãªã®ã«ãæé·ããªããšããã ãã§è³éãåããªããªã£ãŠããŸãã®ã§ãããããšãæé·ãç¡ããšããã«ã¯éçšããªããçããããªããšããããšã«ãªããéçåãšéœåžäžæ¥µéäžã®æµããæ¢ãŸããŸããããããä»ã®æ¥æ¬ã§èµ·ããŠããããšã§ãã
ç¬¬äºæ¬¡å€§æŠåŸã®çŒãéåããç«ã¡çŽã£ãæ¥æ¬ã®åã£ãçµæžæ¿çããç¬èªã®çµæžãå®ã£ãæåäŸãšããŠèªãããŸããäžæ¹ã倱ããã30幎ã§èªæ°å ã®åã£ãŠããæ¿çãããã°ããŒãã«çµæžã«åœå ã®å¯ãã倧æŸåºãããæ€æ°å°çµæžã ã£ãããšããæ¬æžã§ã®è°è«ã§é²ãã«ãªããŸãããã£ãŠè¯ãããšãšãããªãããšãåãã£ãŠããªãããããšãã£ãã®ãªã売åœè¡çºã§ãããã¯ãçºæ¿è ã«ãšã£ãŠæ¥æ¬åœæ°ã¯ãä»è ãã§ãããç Žå£ããŠæŸåããåŸã¯ãåœå€ã«é亡ããã°è¯ãã®ã§ãã
çµæžæé·ãéãã°ç·çž®è²¡æ¿ãå«ã°ããåµååœã§ããã°IMFãç·çž®è²¡æ¿ã匷å¶ããŸãã財æ¿èµ€ååæžïŒãã©ã€ããªãŒãã©ã³ã¹ïŒè«è ã䞻匵ããã®ã¯ãèŠããã«ãéãå¿ èŠãšãã人ã«ãéãåãããæ¢ã«ãéãæã£ãŠããäººã®æã«æ»çãããŠããããšã§ãããã®ãšãã€ã³ãã¬ã®è åšãç œãç«ãŠãŸããããããæããŠããã®ãå®ã¯å¯è£å±€ã®æ¹ã§ããçç±ã¯ãè³éäžæã䌎ãã€ã³ãã¬ã¯å€åŽè ã«ãšã£ãŠäžç«ã§ããã貯èã®äŸ¡å€ãäžããã ãã ããã§ãã
å¯ããè ãè³æ¬å®¶ããéãè²žãæžããå²ãããšããã«ã ãæè³ãããããšã§ãå¯ã®äžæ¥µéäžãé²ã¿ãè²§å¯ã®æ Œå·®ãæ¡å€§ããŠããæ§ã¯ãããŒã«ã«ééè·¯ç·ã次ã ãšå»æ¢ã«è¿œã蟌ãŸããäžã§ãå·šé¡ã®è³éãæããŠãªãã¢æ°å¹¹ç·ã®å»ºèšãé²ããããŠããå§¿ã«äŒŒãŠããŸããééã¯äº€éææ®µããéã¯äº€æææ®µãã©ã¡ããçµæžãåã瀟äŒãäžã€ã«ãŸãšãã圹ã«ç«ã£ãŠããŸããã©ã¡ããã¿ããªã®ãã®ã ã£ãã¯ãã§ãããããæ¡ç®æ§ãšããèãã§éçšãããªãäžæ¥µéäžããã®ãèªç¶ã®æãè¡ãã§ãããå²ãããã€ãŸãå³è©äžããã®æé·ãå¿ ç¶åããŠããã®ã¯å©åã§ããããéããäžæ¥µéäžã®æ§è³ªãæ¶ãã«ã¯å©åãé転ããä»ãããŸããããã®ããšãã20äžçŽåé ã®çµæžåŠè ã·ã«ããªã»ã²ãŒã«ã¯çè«åããŠããŸããã
ã²ãŒã«ã¯ç¬¬äžæ¬¡äžç倧æŠçŽåŸã25幎以å ã«ç¬¬äºæ¬¡äžç倧æŠãå°æ¥ããããšãæ£ç¢ºã«äºèšããŠããŸããïŒå®éã«ã¯21幎åŸã§ããïŒãã²ãŒã«ãèŠæããã®ã¯ãå©åä»ã貚幣ã䜿ãéããå¿ ç¶çã«æŠäºãèµ·ããããšã§ããå©åä»ã貚幣ã䜿ããé«å©è²žãã®çµæžãã§ã¯ãå¿ ç¶çã«çç£éå°ãšãªãããããåŠåããããã«æŠäºãèµ·ããŸããç¬¬äžæ¬¡å€§æŠãšç¬¬äºæ¬¡å€§æŠã¯ãã®å žåã§ããããç¬¬äºæ¬¡å€§æŠåŸã«ããæ±è¥¿å·æŠæããããŠå·æŠåŸããçŸåšã«è³ããŸã§ãçµ¶ãéãªãæŠäºãç¶ããŠããŸãããããŸåŽåºããŠãããŠã¯ã©ã€ããäžæ±ã®æŠäºããå·šå€§çµæžåã®è¡ãè©°ãŸããäœã¬ãã«ã®æŠäºã§ã¯è§£æ¶ã§ããªãã»ã©ã«é«ãŸã£ãŠããçŸããªã®ã§ãã
é«åºŠæé·æã®æ¥æ¬ã«ã¯ãäžåç·äžæµããšããèªèããã£ãŠãäžå¹³çã¯è¡šé¢äžèŠããªããªã£ãŠããŸããããããé«åºŠæé·ãã¹ã¿ãŒããããæ¬åœã®åååã¯ãæé®®æŠäºã«ãããç¹éããã€ãŸãè»çšãã©ãã¯ãç ²åŒŸãªã©ã®è»éã§ãããçµæžæé·ãè¡ãæ¢ãŸãã«ãªã£ãå¹³æä»¥åŸãæ°èªç±äž»çŸ©æ¿çã«ãã£ãŠéæ£èŠéçšãšæµ·å€çç£ç§»è»¢ãæ¿å¢ããæ Œå·®ç€ŸäŒã誰ã®ç®ã«ãæããã«ãªããŸãããããã¯è²¡åçãšçµç£çã®å€±çãšããããã¯ãæéå¯èœãªè³æ¬ãé£ãå°œãããé«å©è²žãçµæžã®è¡ãçãå ã ã£ããšããããšããæ¬æžã®è°è«ã§ãã£ããé®®ããã«æµ®ãã³äžãããŸãã
æ¥éã¯2016幎ãã2024幎ãŸã§ãã€ãã¹ã®çæéå©ã§ãããããã¯ç°åžžãªããšã ãšæããããŠããŸãããçµæžæé·ãäžå¯èœã«ãªã£ã瀟äŒã§ã¯ãã€ãã¹éå©ã®æ¹ããæ£åžžããªã®ã§ãããããèªããããªãæ¿åºã¯èºèµ·ã«ãªã£ãŠçµæžæé·ã®ã¿ããæš¡çŽ¢ããæŠåšèŒžåºã«çããå®ããŠããŸããä»åœã®äººã ã®ç掻ãç Žå£ããŠãŸã§èªåœã®çµæžãæé·ããããšããã®ã¯ããŸãã«çµæžæé·ã®ç¥å¥ªã§ãããã
åœæ¿éžæã«åããè«æŠã§ç¹°ãè¿ãããèšèã¯ã責任ãã財æ¿ãã§ããã責任ããããšããèšèã«é ãããæå³ã¯ãåæãããå®çŸå¯èœæ§ã®ç¯å²ãéžè±ããªãããšããããšã§ããã倱ããã30幎ãã®äžã§è²ã£ãäžä»£ã«ãšã£ãŠãäžã®äžã¯å€ããããªããã®ã§ãããæš©åã«ç°è°ç³ãç«ãŠãããã®ã¯ãçããã»ã©ã«ç¡çãªããšã ãšããæèŠã倿°ãå ããããã«ãªã£ãã®ã ãšãããŸãããã®äžæ¹ã§ãæ¿æš©ã®åº§ã«ããæ¿æ²»å®¶ãã¡ã¯è£éã®ãããªæ±ããéã«åŠå¿ãªãåŒãå¯ããããŠããããã«èŠããŸãããã£ããã©ãããŠããéãäžå¿ã«ããŠçµã¿ç«ãŠããã瀟äŒãããã®ããã«çµ¶æçãªãã®ã«ãªã£ãŠããŸã£ãã®ã§ãããããªããããç§ãã¡ã¯åœããåã®ãã®ãšããŠè«Šããåãå ¥ããããã«ãªã£ãŠããŸã£ãã®ã§ãããã
ãã£ãŒã«ãºã»ã¢ã€ãŒã³ã¹ã¿ã€ã³ã®èäœã«éåºããããŒãã¯ãããã£ãšçŸããäžçããå¯èœã ãšããç§ãã¡ã®çŽæã«ã¯æå³ãããããšãçŸåšã®ææãçŽé¢ããæ§ã ãªå±æ©ã¯ã人é¡ã«ãšã£ãŠã®ééå瀌ã®è©Šç·Žã§ãããšããããšããããŠè©Šç·Žãä¹ãè¶ããå ã«åŸ ã£ãŠããããã£ãšçŸããäžçããéžã³åãã®ã¯ç§ãã¡èªèº«ã§ããããšã§ãã
å ¬æ£ã§ãåµé çã§ãçŸããäžçãåµãåºãããšãããšãããã€ã察ç«ããããšã«ãªãã®ããéã§ãããã®æ ¹æ¬ã«ããã®ããã³ã¢ã³ãºïŒå ±æè²¡ç£ïŒãç§ç©åãæéãããšããåãã§ãããã«ã¯ãææããšããæŠå¿µãã®ãã®ã絡ãã§ããŸãããããæ¹å€ãããšããããŠãã®å Žåã¯å ±ç£äž»çŸ©ã ãšã¬ããã«ã貌ãããæ§ãœé£ã®ãããªç¬è£äœå¶ãšåäžèŠãããŸãããããè¯ãèŠãŠã¿ããšãæ§ãœé£ã®ç€ŸäŒäž»çŸ©ã¯çç£ææ®µããåœæåãããã®ã§ãã£ãŠãææãšããæŠå¿µã«æãä»ããŠã¯ããŸããã§ããã人é¡ã倪å€ã®æããå¹ã£ãŠããã³ã¢ã³ãºãšããä»çµã¿ã¯ãåœæåãšæš©åãšãªãŒãå±€ã«ããäžå€®éæš©ç管çãšã¯å šãéããå ±åäœã«ãã忣çå ±å管çã ã£ãã®ã§ãã
倩ç¶è³æºã¯æ¬æ¥èª°ã®ãã®ã§ããªãã³ã¢ã³ãºïŒå ¬å ±è²¡ïŒã§ãã£ãã¯ãã§ãããé²å€©æãé±å±±ãå°åç°å¢ãç Žå£ãäœæ°ã®å¥åº·ãè ãããŠãäœã®ããã«ãã£ããªãããããäŸ¡æ Œã«åæ ãããããšã¯ãããŸãããäžæ¹ãç§ãã¡ã®åŽååã¯ãæ¬æ¥èªåã®ãã®ã§ããã¯ããªã®ã«ããããè¡äœ¿ããçµæã®åå ¥ã«ã¯æåŸçšãšããããã«ãã£ãæããããŸããããã¯çšã®ããæ¹ãšããŠããã¹ãã¹ããªã®ã ãšãèè ã¯äž»åŒµããŸããã³ã¢ã³ãºã¯ãã€ãªãªãŒãžã§ã³ïŒçç©å°åïŒçãªãã®ãªã®ã§ãã³ã¢ã³ãºãåºç€ãšããå°åé貚ã®çºè¡ã¯ãå°æ¹èªæ²»ãåãæ»ãããšã«éããŸãã
äººé¡ææã®çŸå°ç¹ã¯ãæé·ããããã«äœã§ã欲ãããåäŸã®æä»£ãçµããŠãææ¥æãã倧人ãžãšåããå±é¢ã«ããã®ã§ããçŸåšã«æãéãªãããã«èµ·ããŠããæ§ã ãªå±æ©ã¯ã倧人ã«ãªãããã®è©Šç·Žãªã®ã§ããå€§äººã¯æããäººãšæã«èœã¡ãèªåãšããæ ãæ¡ããæãã人ã«èªåãæã£ãŠãããã®ãæ§ãäžããããšé¡ãããã«ãªããŸãã
ãããã¯ãããææåŽ©å£ãžã®éã§ã¯ãªãã人é¡ãæ°ããªååšã«çãŸãåºããåºç£ãããã»ã¹ãªã®ã ãšããããæ¯äœãå®ããªããåºç£ãä¿ãå©ç£åž«ããã®ããã«ãçµæžã®çžè»¢ç§»ãå éããããšãçã«ããªã£ããã®ãšãªããŸããæ¥æ¬çµæžã®ãè¡°éãããå¿ ãããåŠå®çã«æããå¿ èŠã®ãªãçç±ãããã«ãããŸããçŸä»£ç€ŸäŒã®åãè»ãèµ°ãããºãã®ãããªç掻ããéããããšããéžæããã人ãå¢ããããšãããã®çžè»¢ç§»ã®å¿ ç¶ãªã®ã§ãã
çŸåšã®çµæžã¯å¿ ãç Žç¶»ã厩å£ããã§ãããããããŸã§ã«ä»æã£ãŠãããéããèªåã®ã³ãã¥ããã£ã®äžã«æè¬ã®æ°æã¡ãçã¿åºãããã«äœ¿ã£ãŠããããšã§ããçŸåšã®è²šå¹£ã¯ãã€ããŒã€ã³ãã¬ã«ãã£ãŠç¡äŸ¡å€ã«ãªãã§ãããããæè¬ã®è²¯èã¯çµæžåŽ©å£åŸã®ãæ¥äžãã«ãŸã§æã£ãŠè¡ãããšãã§ãããããããã°ã³ãã¥ããã£ã¯åŸ©æŽ»ããçããŠããããšãã§ããã§ããããããã¯ã®ããæåã®äžã«çãããšããããšã§ãã
åæå±±çã飿ºå浊çºã®è²å·ã¯ããããåäžçŽåã«ææ©èŸ²æ³ãå®è·µããå£äœãåãå ¥ããããšããå§ãŸããä»ã§ã¯ç§»äœåãå ¥ãã®å é²å°ãšåŒã°ããŸããç§ã¯ããã«ç§»ãäœãã§ïŒå¹Žç®ã«ãªããŸããããã«ã¯éœåžç掻ãã倱ãããã³ãã¥ããã£ããŸã æ®ã£ãŠãããšæããŸããéçå°ããã«ãå°åãç¶æããŠããããã«ã¯ãç¥ç€Ÿãã寺ã®ç¶æãæ°Žéã®ç¶æãçºéã®èåããå ±æèŸ²å°ã®èåããªã©ããåºåœ¹ããšåŒã°ããå ±åäœæ¥ãæ¬ ãããŸãããäœæ°ãããã«åå ããããšããå¿ èŠãšãããŠãããã®ã§ãããããèè ã®èšã代åã§ãããã®ãããªçŸ©åã矩çãæããããšã«ãã£ãŠãå°åããèªãããç¹ãããæã£ãŠãæåœ¢ç¡åœ¢ã®æŽå©ãåããããããã«ãªããŸããã®ããã®ç¶²ã«åå ãããšã¯ãã®ãããªãã®ã§ãã
ééåãããéœäŒã®ç掻ãªãã°ãå ±çè²»ãæåŸçšãæ¯æã£ãŠçŸ©åããèªç±ã«ãªãïŒãããŠèŠç¥ãã¬äººã«ãéãæã£ãŠãã£ãŠãããïŒã®ã§ãããããããã¯ãã«ã¿ã€ã ã§éçšããèªåã®æéããéãšäº€æã«å·®ãåºããŠæã«å ¥ãããèªç±ããªã®ã§ããæã売ã£ãŠéãåŸããªããèªç±ãšã¯æãç¡ãããšãã€ãŸãèªç±ãæ±ããŠå¥Žé·ã«ãªã£ãŠããŸãã®ã§ããäœãšããççŸã§ããããã
ã®ããæåã§éèŠãªã®ã¯ãç¡ç§ç¡æ¬²ã§æ°åããäžãããšããããšãããããé ãããšãæãŸãªãããšããããšã§ããç§ãã¡ã瀟äŒç掻ãéãäžã§å¿ é ã®æèŠãšããŠèº«ã«ä»ãããé æ ®ãããã®ããæåã®é害ã«ãªããŸããåãåã£ãŠçããã矩çããã³ãã¥ããã£å šäœã«å¯Ÿããè²¬ä»»ãšæããããšããã®ããæåã®æ žå¿ãšãªããŸãã
2020幎代ãäžç€ãéããäžççµæžã®é²è¡ããä»ãŸã§ä»¥äžã«æªãããªã£ãŠããŸãããäžçäžã§çµæžäœå¶ç¶æã®ããã®ãªããµãæ§ãã¬æŠäºãåæå€çºããä»ããã¯ãçŸåšã®çµæžäœå¶ãç¶æããããšã¯äžå¯èœã ãšããçŸå®ãçŽèŠãã¹ãæãæ¥ãã®ã§ããæŠäºãæ¬åœã«æ¢ããã«ã¯ãçŸåšã®çµæžäœå¶ãå€é©ããªããã°ãªããŸããããã®å±æ©ãä»ãŸã§ã®ãããªå¯Ÿççæ³ã§ä¹ãåãããšã¯äžå¯èœã§ãããã倧å€åãšå€§åŽ©å£ã®ç°ã®äžãããæ¬¡ã®ç€ŸäŒãçãŸããŸãããã®ãšãäœãæ§æ³ããããäœãéžã³åãããç§ãã¡ã¯è©ŠãããŠããŸãããèãªãçµæžåŠãã®éèŠæ§ãä»ãŸã§ä»¥äžã«é«ãŸã£ãŠããã®ããç§ã¯æããŠããŸãã
åïŒãåèæç®
ç®æ¬¡