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New Zealand’s Two-Track China Policy

New Zealand is hardening its stance toward China as security concerns mount, but deep economic dependence on Beijing limits how far Wellington can realign with its Western partners.

Commentary by Anna Fifield — October 26, 2026

No Front Lines: A Decision Guide for Companies Caught in Conflict

Companies that never considered themselves defense companies are now on the front lines. This report explores how companies can navigate the fog of conflict and mitigate risks, as well as how the U.S. government can assess and reduce the threats they face.

Report by Emily Harding, Julia Dickson, and Aosheng Pusztaszeri — October 23, 2026

Ukraine and South Korea’s Diplomatic Dispute Deepens | State of Play

Victor Cha explains why the diplomatic dispute between South Korea and Ukraine over President Volodymyr Zelensky’s public disclosure that Kyiv had transferred two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul has deepened, and what both sides may want out of it.

Commentary by Victor Cha — October 23, 2026

Will AI Concerns Become a New Source of Terrorism?

What is the risk that fears about AI will motivate terrorist attacks? This analysis examines the record of anti-AI violence so far, how and why new terrorist causes emerge, and what that history suggests for AI-related violence.

Brief by Daniel Byman and Riley McCabe — October 22, 2026

Sustaining South Africa’s Progress in the Next Phase of the HIV Fight

South Africa has 8 million people living with HIV, and the government has introduced lenacapavir, a new HIV prevention drug. Thousands have started on the injections, but questions about future costs and supplies will need to be resolved to ensure the campaign’s success.

Commentary by Katherine E. Bliss and Priya Chainani — October 22, 2026

Risk to Refugee Return

This installment of Charting the Middle East highlights how the scale of unexploded ordnance (UXO) contamination, relative to returning populations, varies across Syria.

Newsletter by Ninar Fawal — October 22, 2026