
analysis
Historic Comeback Keeps Brazil's Lula at the Helm of a Deeply Divided Country
While it may fuel right-wing protests, Flavio Bolsonaro's push to overturn the election result will likely fail, leaving Lula to navigate a right-leaning Congress, fiscal pressures and tense relations with the U.S. and Argentina in his fourth and final term.
Oct 26, 2026
read more Read more: Historic Comeback Keeps Brazil's Lula at the Helm of a Deeply Divided CountryFeatured Analysis

U.S. Naval Update Map: Oct. 22, 2026
Oct 22, 2026
Analysis
Pakistan, Iran: Thousands of Trucks Remain Stranded as Iran-Pakistan Border Trade Resumes
Oct 26, 2026
OSINT PREMIUM
Oct 26, 2026
Thousands Protest Czech Government's Public Media Overhaul After Rushed Vote
Thousands protested in Prague on Sunday after government lawmakers gave initial backing to public media funding changes in a rare overnight vote despite criticism that the overhaul will damage media independence.
Oct 26, 2026
EU Weighs Mirroring Donald Trump in Securing Critical Minerals
EU lawmakers want Brussels to borrow from Donald Trump’s playbook by taking stakes in critical raw material projects, mirroring US and Japanese efforts to secure supplies of minerals essential for defense and clean technologies.
Oct 26, 2026
Bulgaria Heads For Tight Presidential Run-Off After Record Low Turnout
Incumbent President Iliana Yotova and former caretaker prime minister Andrey Gyurov will meet in a run-off on 1 November, after a record 27 candidates failed to draw voters to the polls. The two finished neck and neck, and pollsters disagree on who came first.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.



