Historic Comeback Keeps Brazil's Lula at the Helm of a Deeply Divided Country
(Alexandre Schneider/Getty Images)
analysis

Historic Comeback Keeps Brazil's Lula at the Helm of a Deeply Divided Country

While it may fuel right-wing protests, Flavio Bolsonaro's push to overturn the election result will likely fail, leaving Lula to navigate a right-leaning Congress, fiscal pressures and tense relations with the U.S. and Argentina in his fourth and final term.

Oct 26, 2026

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OSINT
PREMIUM

Oct 26, 2026

Thousands Protest Czech Government's Public Media Overhaul After Rushed Vote

Thousands protested in Prague on Sunday after government lawmakers gave initial backing to public media funding changes in a rare overnight vote despite criticism that the overhaul will damage media independence.

Oct 26, 2026

EU Weighs Mirroring Donald Trump in Securing Critical Minerals

EU lawmakers want Brussels to borrow from Donald Trump’s playbook by taking stakes in critical raw material projects, mirroring US and Japanese efforts to secure supplies of minerals essential for defense and clean technologies.

Oct 26, 2026

Bulgaria Heads For Tight Presidential Run-Off After Record Low Turnout

Incumbent President Iliana Yotova and former caretaker prime minister Andrey Gyurov will meet in a run-off on 1 November, after a record 27 candidates failed to draw voters to the polls. The two finished neck and neck, and pollsters disagree on who came first.

Forecasts
PREMIUM

Sep 28, 2026

2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.

Jun 29, 2026

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

Mar 30, 2026

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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